Pampanga State Agricultural University

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A System Of Differential Equations Modeling Covid-19 Transmission Dynamics In Pampanga (Record no. 15974)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
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001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 135061
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
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005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20250408094547.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
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100 0# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Mallari, Karla S.
245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title A System Of Differential Equations Modeling Covid-19 Transmission Dynamics In Pampanga
Medium [manuscript] /
Statement of responsibility, etc. Karla S. Mallari.
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Magalang, Pampanga :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Pampanga State Agricultural University,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. August 2022.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 111 leaves ;
Dimensions 28 cm. + 1 computer disc (4 3/4 in.)
505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note The main objective of the study was to develop and present a system of differential equations modeling COVID-19 transmission dynamics in the province of Pampanga. The researcher described COVID-i9 status and modeled it using the given observed data. COVID-19 cases in Pampanga increased dramatically from March 2020 to December 2021, reaching six to seven times the annual increase of cases. The ADAR of COVID-19 at a certain area or per 100,000 population increased from low to high risk over a two-year period. The vaccination status for COVID-19 is increasing - 48.74 % of the population were fully vaccinated as of December 2021. An SIR-D model was developed, which was based on the SIR model developed by Kermack and McKendrick in 1927. An analytical and numerical method was used in this model analysis. I(t) was solved aualytically fullowed by sulving the parameter of the wuodel using the optimization process in the Excel solver. The numerical solution for dS dt, dR/dt and dD/dt was solved using Runge-Kutta method in Scilab 6.1.1.Based on the developed model, the transmission rate (r), removal rate (recovery (A) and death rate (w)), proportion of the population using face mask (0) and the efficacy of face mask (¢) were significant factors driving the rise of cases. Keywords: COVID-19, Runge-Kutta method, SIR model, modelling, SIRD.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Aldrin P. Mendoza,
Relator term Adviser.
Holdings
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      Not for loan BS Mathematics PSAU OLM PSAU OLM Dissertation, Theses 03/10/2023   UT M25 2022 UT12785 04/08/2025 04/08/2025 Theses